If it jumped 10% annually since 2010 wouldn’t that make it 130% or am I bad at maths
Lol. It’s 1.1^(2023-2010)
That’s not how this kind of thing works, and it depends on where it starts. If it’s 1% of children attempting suicide, which would be a huge amount, a 10% increase is 1.1%, and then for the next year a 10% increase makes it 1.21%, and then 1.33%. This is why when something increases your risk of something by say, 50%, it might mean absolutely nothing if the initial odds are 1 in a billion. 1.5 in a billion isn’t really any more likely.
The increase itself doesn’t matter where it starts, 10% each year over 13 years will always be an increase of ~245%.
It also matters a lot to look at the relative change no matter the absolute amount, since it indicates a trend. Even if the chance for something terrible is 1 in a billion, a steady 10% increase every year should worry everyone, since there is a clear trend (and compounding increases get big faster than you’d expect).
My neighbour was freaking out when she saw in the local newspaper that burglaries in our town had increased by 100%
I pointed out that we had 2 burglaries this year, compared to the 1 last year…
removed by mod
Nice rule of thumb: 7% increase per year means doubling in 10 years.
10% above its current rate.
So if 2% of children are killing themselves an increase of ten percent would be 2.2%.
