Summary

Trump announced that 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on February 1, though a decision on including oil remains pending.

He justified the move by citing undocumented migration, fentanyl trafficking, and trade deficits.

Trump also hinted at new tariffs on China.

Canada and Mexico plan retaliatory measures while seeking to address U.S. concerns.

If oil imports are taxed, it could raise costs for businesses and consumers, potentially contradicting Trump’s pledge to reduce living expenses.

    • @Croquette@sh.itjust.works
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      33 months ago

      It wouldn’t be so bad if we didn’t get fucked by proxy of America electing an old senile fascist.

      I am Canadian and I will feel Trump’s presidency for a while

  • @prodajvodapavel@aggregatet.org
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    863 months ago

    He justified the move by citing undocumented migration, fentanyl trafficking, and trade deficits.

    Translation: “We’re going to artificially increase the prices of our competitors’ products so the American ruling class can profit off of giving Americans a worse deal.”

    • @SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca
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      53 months ago

      The problem with these kinds of conspiracy theories is that it assumes the conspirators are hyper-competent people.

      It’s far more plausible that they’re just idiots.

    • @immutable@lemm.ee
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      3 months ago

      American ruling class, “Oh would you look at that, we just found a 24.99999% price hike that we definitely have to do because economy. Still cheaper though than the Canadian and Mexican imports.”

      It’s just the rest of America that is going to get fucked.

        • @CitizenKong@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Fun fact: Under Hitler, while there was an economic boom (due to production switching to war preparation), wages fell on Great Depression levels and workers had to work a lot more hours. Germany was also deeply in debt, because most of this was financed by crazy lending from other countries, which Hitler had no intention of paying back.

          Also, the ones that were profiting the most off of this were oligarchs.

    • @Snowclone@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      I don’t doubt he thinks that’s possible, but what every one who repeats this idea seems to not grasp is that the US doesn’t manufacture consumer goods, and increasingly we aren’t able to farm our own food, particularly right the fuck now while we’re depopulating the country of farm labor. There’s nothing here to replace what we can’t get now. There’s no American alternative. We don’t do that, we pay other people to do it in a country with no labor protections and garbage pay and economy. No one wants to start manufacturing anything new right now in the US because it will become even less profitable the second the moron is out of office and all this stops, then there’s the fact that even if we had people who wanted to start doing all this manufacturing, it would take them often more than 5-10 years to get off the ground and that’s not even getting into finding labor in the US to do this work. While we’re being depopulated. Apparently the 1m dead from Covid simply wasn’t enough.

      • @fine_sandy_bottom@discuss.tchncs.de
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        13 months ago

        Exactly. No one is thinking “right this is our big chance to build a toothbrush factory”.

        Setting aside the tariffs on the production line you need to buy from China…

        All your precursor would need to come from China anyway.

        Couple that with the cost of maintaining local safety regs and I’d be surprised if you could put a product on super market shelves thats cheaper than the tariffed one.

  • @tal@lemmy.today
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    3 months ago

    If oil imports are taxed, it could raise costs for businesses and consumers, potentially contradicting Trump’s pledge to reduce living expenses.

    First time around, with the trade war with China, he had the federal government cut checks to affected farmers. I don’t know the form that took, but during COVID-19, he had stimulus checks sent out – with his name on them – to the broader public.

    So, that’s presumably to make sure that they associate him with the check. I understand that sending out gifts to the public with your name attached isn’t uncommon around election in some countries with kinda sketchy political systems.

    One imagines that he might do a repeat. Most people don’t seem to have a great handle on what drives inflation, from polls I’ve seen. If you figure that you get political points for sending out checks but don’t lose as many political points for raising prices because people don’t associate you strongly with those costs, that might be an advantageous political move; add tariff, which generates revenue to federal government, then send money to some approximation of impacted people with name attached. It’s economically-inefficient, but…

    • ms.lane
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      93 months ago

      Don’t forget his little issue with TSMC holding a virtual monopoly on wafer fabrication.

      Don’t forget that’s HIS FAULT.

      GlobalFoundries had working 7nm, but they were a year late and-

      • Intel’s problems appeared to be over (they weren’t)

      • TSMC would have mass production of N7 up within months (they were already in risk production)

      • Samsung’s aggressive posturing and pricing for Samsung Fab would eat into their business, even though it was for a 10nm class product

      • UMC would have 7nm up within 6 months (they stole TSMC IP and got clapped for it, no UMC 7nm)

      • SMIC would also be up within a year (Also stolen TSMC IP, they can’t sell it in the west but it’s used extensively in China)

      All those thing would make it hard to make a lot of money when they were a year late (though all of them turned out wrong except TSMC). SF parent company would have allowed all that to happen too, but then Trump started subsidising oil to put pressure on OPEC. ATIC no longer had their ‘unlimited money’ and GF had to get back in black, so 7nm was cancelled.

      This left only TSMC and Poor Quality Samsung (Intel still doesn’t really do third party fab work)

      Thanks Trump for putting tariffs on for the mess you created.

    • @Snowclone@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      WAY more. We import a lot of food from Mexico as is, and the immigration and ethnic clensing the Trump goverment is engaging in is already forcing farmers to watch their crops rot on the ground with no one to harvest them. So we’re following in the great tradition of Stalin and Pol Pot, we have a dumb fucking asshole with a hard on for ‘‘strong man tactics’’ demanding we change how we get food in many extreme ways immediately, you know, instead of gradual change, so we’ll all get to see what an artifical famine looks like! Do you think Trump will let other nations send us emergency rations so we won’t die? Or will he confiscate them at a dock or border and have them dumped into the ocean so he doesn’t look weak? North Korea knows.

    • mycelium underground
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      203 months ago

      I can’t believe some people think that putting tariffs on a country means the country will just give the government 25% of everything and the merchants of that country are not just going to raise the prices to match the new expenses(or maybe even a little bit more since they have a good excuse to change prices).

      I guess I can stand to eat a bit less, we can call it the economic collapse of the US diet! Just think of all the profits from the diet books! To bad they are going to cost 30% more now that my Mexican publisher is paying a tarrif to bring the books into the US. That’s OK, spending more money on the book just means that you won’t be able to afford as much food, making the diet work even better!

      • @tekato@lemmy.world
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        93 months ago

        I can’t believe some people think that putting tariffs on a country means the country will just give the government 25% of everything and the merchants of that country are not just going to raise the prices to match the new expenses(or maybe even a little bit more since they have a good excuse to change prices)

        I’m not sure anyone believes that. The point of tariffs is that merchants will have to increase prices to keep the same profit, causing people to purchase less of the product and look for cheaper alternatives (those without tariffs).

        • @Snowclone@lemmy.world
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          23 months ago

          Unfortunately, a lot of people are saying they think the county of origin pays the tariff and not the importer.

        • JackbyDev
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          83 months ago

          Many Americans thought the foreign country paid the tariffs, so forgive me if I disagree that my country is capable of that level of thought.

        • @SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca
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          53 months ago

          Yeah targeted tariffs only products where there’s a domestically produced alternative might do that. Putting tariffs on everything means people will just have to pay more for some things. Canada and Mexico will do the former, while the US is doing the later (much dumber) approach.

          Anyway… this Canadian has just remembered a few more US based services to cancel. Not because of any price changes have happened yet but because apparently Americans have to learn the value of trade the hard way. Trade goes both ways, and that’s not going to happen as much now.

  • @kreskin@lemmy.world
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    883 months ago

    Its Americans trying to buy food who will be hit with a 25% tarriff, not Mexico. And Mexican farmers wont see a dime of that revenue, if anything they will see a decline in revenue as people stop buying the products. It all goes to the US treasury.

    • @protist@mander.xyz
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      353 months ago

      I live in Texas, and it’s hard to overstate how much of our produce is imported from Mexico. This would be an almost immediate 25% price hike on food that basically can’t be grown at scale here because we don’t have Mexico’s climate. Surely he’d exempt food from whatever he’s about to do. Right…?

      • @adarza@lemmy.ca
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        113 months ago

        it’s a 25% import tax paid by the importer. when their margins are added, and then the distributors’ on top of their higher costs, at each step of the distribution chain… it’ll be a fair bit more than ‘just’ +25% once product reaches the store shelves.

      • @puntinoblue@lemmy.ml
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        63 months ago

        I expect food would be exempt as you don’t want an angry, hungry, volatile population. Bread and Circuses

        • Pyr
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          33 months ago

          Whatever he exempts is specifically what Canada and Mexico should target for export tarriffs in retaliation.

      • @Kecessa@sh.itjust.works
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        133 months ago

        “surely he’d exempt X from…”

        Exact same reflection as all the people who depend on migrant workers that voted for him only for the bubble to burst in their face.

      • chingadera
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        3 months ago

        Will it benefit the average person? If the answer is yes, you can take it off the list.

        Even if it benefits the rich, it would have to exponentially hurt the average American more for it to be considered. They’ve already turned their nose up at studies that have proven better working conditions, pay, and benefits would make them richer in the long run because it takes a little bit of control away from them. These people are sick, and the only thing that is going to correct it at this point is a violent uprising.

          • chingadera
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            23 months ago

            https://jwmason.org/slackwire/what-exactly-does-the-us-buy-from-mexico/

            This is a good list from a quick search, other search results states a lot of vehicles (in this case we’d be talking about vehicles for industry) agricultural (I didn’t look far enough but it could be both produce which would be consumer, but it could also have some ag production products, and machinery, machinery probably being the largest non consumer good product depending on how much that agricultural divide is between consumer/industry.

            Included in that list is oil, that would be non consumer, computers would be roughly the same split if not more than agricultural considering companies go through computers more than the average consumer. Computers is also a pretty broad tag so take that with a grain of salt.

            Services and other seems kind of substantial, this is not my area at all, just relaying a search essentially, so that could go either way if included in the tariffs at all.

            • @wewbull@feddit.uk
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              13 months ago

              Those things will still have impact on consumer prices though. Agricultural vehicles costing more will increase domestically produced food prices (didn’t John Dear just move production there). Oil costing more increases transport costs on everything, but at least could be sourced from elsewhere.

              I don’t really see how exceptions could be made to protect consumers without undercutting the whole thing. I expect to be on everything or nothing.

              • chingadera
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                03 months ago

                100% agreed.

                Capitalism is designed to pass the buck to us. That’s just how it works. It might take a little longer if it is through the production pipeline like the examples above, but it’s still gonna fuck us.

    • Cyborganism
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      523 months ago

      Canada and Mexico are still part of that North American free trade agreement thing. We (Canada) will just get our food from Mexico and South America like we’ve always done. We’ll just skip America.

        • @wewbull@feddit.uk
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          53 months ago

          Problem there might be transport. You need to do it without crossing a US border.

          How much shipping goes between Canada and Mexico?

          • @kreskin@lemmy.world
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            13 months ago

            Ah. You still dont understand how the US works. Send a small bribe directly to the Trump family and you can do whatever you like. I suggest using Eric Trump. If Dems are in charge send a bribe to AIPAC and they will give the dems their allowance. Either way its probably not even expensive.

            • @SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca
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              53 months ago

              Pfft… just buy some $TRUMP crypto coin. The graft is all out in the open now.

              Also the “uncommitted” got their way and got Trump into power. So now AIPAC conspiracy stuff is just straight up antisemitism now.

              • @kreskin@lemmy.world
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                3 months ago

                Being called an antisemite doesnt have the sting it used to. Now it just means anyone the genocidal state of Israel and their supporters disagree with in any way. Seems like weaponized language quickly loses meaning.

              • @wewbull@feddit.uk
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                23 months ago

                Pfft… just buy some $TRUMP crypto coin. The graft is all out in the open now.

                I think this has passed a lot of people by. When Trump announced his crypto scheme he was saying to the world “This is how you buy the power of the president with no paper trail”. Foreign powers can funnel billions through it for favours.

                It’s corruption on a unprecedented scale, even for a political system that runs on continual “fund-raising”.

          • @T00l_shed@lemmy.world
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            13 months ago

            Maybe the free trade would allow trains and the like to go right through the USA without selling anything?

                • skulblaka
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                  83 months ago

                  You mean the free trade agreement that Trump is currently trying to tear down?

                  Hell, he’ll probably ask y’all to pay taxes on transport, even for things you aren’t selling here.

      • @adarza@lemmy.ca
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        243 months ago

        back in the first episode, lord diaper whined, and whined and shit on nafta, forcing it to be ‘renegotiated’ by him. he just had to have his name on everything.

        nafta was a long time in the making, from reagan, to bush, to clinton when it finally went into effect. it had bipartisan support in congress, a little stronger from the right.

        undone by a single shart from an orange moron that leaked, and then magically ‘fixed’ by the same…

        in the end, what mr. art-of-the-fucking-deal managed to ‘negotiate’ is almost entirely the same as the nafta he hated so much.

        now he’s shitting on his own fucking deal. fuck’m.

        i fully support your efforts to avoid our products and companies for the next few years. and if anyone up there wants to come renovate the white house again… i won’t be in your way.

        • Cyborganism
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          73 months ago

          and if anyone up there wants to come renovate the white house again… i won’t be in your way.

          🤣🤣🤣

    • @Lumiluz@slrpnk.net
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      23 months ago

      Nah, EU likes them avocados and fruit too, especially in winter.

      Looking forward to cheaper maple syrup!

  • Steve Dice
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    523 months ago

    Someone make this into that Gru meme:

    1. Slap a 25% tarrif on goods coming from your 3 biggest economic allies
    2. Economy will strengthen due to American consumers preferring American made alternatives
    3. There are no American made alternatives
    4. There are no American made alternatives
    • @Blackmist@feddit.uk
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      43 months ago

      And even if there were American made alternatives, they’d still be more expensive than importing.

      Enjoy your higher prices, suckers.

    • JackbyDev
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      113 months ago

      If they really wanted this to work it should be something like a steadily increasing tariff over time instead of 25% right off the bat. But I don’t think they really care about it working as intended.

      • @braxy29@lemmy.world
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        43 months ago

        i gotta be honest, i’m not entirely sure what is intended. this decision doesn’t make sense to me!

  • @adarza@lemmy.ca
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    83 months ago

    exclude oil, and the u.s. has a trade surplus with their northern neighbor.

    so leaving oil without the extra tax, then there is not even that flimsy concept of an excuse to have the tariffs in the first place.

  • mvilain
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    103 months ago

    I read a post on Mastodon from someone in Ontario Canada that was proposing shutting off all export of oil and electricity to the US. The thing that made me doubt this was they were also calling for impeaching 45 (again!). That would leave Vance which scares me even more.

    • @vastard@lemmynsfw.com
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      The person who proposed shutting off electricity was Doug Ford, the premier of Ontario who could in fact follow through. It would definitely be the nuclear option but it would disrupt the power grid of several norther states we border.

      I don’t think it will come to that. I think the orange idiot just wants some politicians to grovel and pay his tithe at the last minute so he can feel powerful. He’s “warned” of tariffs too many times to make me think he’s serious.

      • skulblaka
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        13 months ago

        Literally any other politician I could believe would be stupid enough to rile everyone up about tariffs but still be hesitant to pull the trigger on it out of fear of the economic repercussions.

        Trump straight up doesn’t understand the repercussions, will fire anyone who tries to explain them to him, and has no reservations whatsoever about pulling any triggers that he can get his lil fingies around.

  • @werefreeatlast@lemmy.world
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    173 months ago

    I love how old the orange asshole looks in the photos. Hopefully things just work out in our favor soon. It could be a permanent sleep or maybe a nice golf ball to the forehead or choked on a pretzel. I think we should probably place some …legal… Bets on how it all goes down? It shouldn’t that that long. I remember when my Grandma looked like that and we buried her a few months later.

      • @werefreeatlast@lemmy.world
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        23 months ago

        Those were the days. We all wished for that pretzel to have been a little bigger, a little dryer. But somehow it didn’t work out. But, it could happen again! Lightning can strike twice in the same spot. Or lightning can strike in two or more spots separately non-dependently.

        • @Azal@pawb.social
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          23 months ago

          Dunno, I remember those days.

          I remember commenting how we were a pretzel away from President Cheney…

          Then again I remember Cheney being the “He picked him as a running mate to be a body shield because I’d take a bullet for W just to stop that from happening.” Unfortunately now we’re in the era where Cheney is the sensible politician (I threw up in my mouth a little when I just typed that last bit)

      • @CitizenKong@lemmy.world
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        33 months ago

        Yep, Vance is in a way more dangerous than Trump. Trump might throw wrenches in the fascists’ plans by either blurting them out proudly thinking it was his idea or by being too afraid of being unpopular (which he is obviously obsessed with) and taking back some of the changes due to public pressure. Vance on the other hand will be just a hand puppet for Putin and/or Musk.

    • @octopus_ink@lemmy.ml
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      83 months ago

      The thing is, I think that might be out of the frying pan and into the fryer at this point.

      Vance is cooler under pressure in interviews and generally more coherent sounding. I think he does a far better job of saying ridiculous unreasonable things with a convincing tone of voice and demeanor than does Trump.

      If Trump has one too many cheeseburgers tomorrow, then we’ve got young, clean-cut, smooth talking first-term President Vance to worry about, and I bet he won’t be threatened by the attention Musk gets as long he he gets his cut. (Hell, I’m not even sure having to take over for Trump in that circumstance would count as his first term.)

      • @werefreeatlast@lemmy.world
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        33 months ago

        You’re right. I’m just wishful thinking.

        Maybe just hemorrhoids. That would be lovely! … ESPN:And the president just got up again in another awkward gesture of disrespect! He seems in pain after all the points Bernie made…Trump:oh shit! Here comes the pain again! Fine fine! I’ll sign if we can all leave quickly!

    • @Bosht@lemmy.world
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      103 months ago

      Man have you seen him speak? I don’t know what concoction of drugs he is on or if he’s just showing his age but he’s definitely not the rager he was 5 years ago. Seems tired and much less coherant. Makes me optimistic he might be in mental decline more than I theorized previously. But if we go by the ‘asshole’ rule he’ll outlive most of the Senate just out of stubbornness and hatred. We definitely need a quick solution.

    • @RangerJosey@lemmy.ml
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      93 months ago

      Man look at Kissinger and the Bush Family.

      If you’ve got a high enough body count you just live forever.

  • @Anamnesis@lemmy.world
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    1223 months ago

    A friend of mine works for an electric semi truck company. The vast majority of their parts are manufactured in Canada and Mexico; they’re just assembled in the US. His mom voted for Trump and really wants him to move back to Ohio so he can have space and be close to family. He wanted to go back, too, and had a transfer and promotion within the company set up before the election. Now there’s a company-wide freeze and his transfer is gone. The company’s internal financial projections are not good.

    His mom refuses to recognize that she just voted for her son to stay in Seattle indefinitely, even though he wants to move back. She keeps thinking that any day now, the economy will be so booming that his company will be doing great. He can’t talk to her about it anymore.

  • @supersquirrel@sopuli.xyz
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    643 months ago

    I can’t wait for mainstream business media to attempt to explain this rationally while keeping a straight face AND still bootlicking at the same time.

    I don’t envy that job.

    • @prodajvodapavel@aggregatet.org
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      363 months ago

      It’s not just the media that loves tariffs.

      Plenty of regular, stupid people have been convinced that a worse deal is better if they’re making someone domestic richer instead of someone foreign.

      The domestic aristocracy doesn’t care about America, or else they would take a hit to their profits to provide Americans a better deal.

      • @vividspecter@lemm.ee
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        363 months ago

        Plenty of regular, stupid people have been convinced that a worse deal is better if they’re making someone domestic richer instead of someone foreign.

        No, regular people don’t understand how tariffs work at all. They literally think that Canada, Mexico, and China are the ones that pay the tariffs.

    • @ricecake@sh.itjust.works
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      133 months ago

      The way you increase productivity is via exports, not artificially increasing the cost of goods. A sin tax is when you want to stop people from doing things so you make it more expensive. If you want to increase American cement production, you subsidize production.
      Adding a tarrif to Canadian cement imports increases cost for imported cement, and encourages domestic producers to increase costs to match. If the competition just got 15% more expensive, there’s no reason for me to not raise my prices 14%.
      If the government comes in and says they’ll pay me $15/ton of cement I produce, that encourages me to produce more cement and lower the price to sell it. Now I’m producing more, and I need to hire another machine operator and the economy grows because the lowered cost of cement makes people more willing to do things that need cement.

      Tariffs are really only good for counteracting other countries subsidies. If Canada were paying manufacturers $20 a ton to produce cement, then applying a $20/ton tarrif makes the prices unbiased.

      It’s why our agricultural subsidies are viewed poorly by food scarce nations: we lower the overall market cost for food, and they can’t afford to subsidize their own production, and returning equilibrium on imports would starve people, so they’re trapped in a cycle of being dependent on imported subsidized food while living next to fallow farms.

      Canada and Mexico aren’t subsidizing their export industries, and a lot of what we’re trading is in things we can’t or don’t want to handle. You can’t increase American uranium production, off the top of my head.

      We had a position of trade strength, which meant that we could afford to import more than we produced because our intangibles were worth more, and what we exported was worth more. Import steel and export tractors. Now we’re saying we want to stop importing steel, making it harder to export tractors, so that we can bring back low paying dangerous jobs.

      If you want to see productivity grow trumps way, go get a job as a farmhand picking spinach. Because his policy is basically that we need less engineers and more farm hands.

        • @ricecake@sh.itjust.works
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          3 months ago

          Video game consoles are sold at a loss on occasion because the marginal cost of game sales is extremely high. There’s no associated product to pair with cement that would drive you to sell it at a loss.

          My point was that yes, it will drive people to local businesses, because they will be cheaper. Local businesses have no reason to keep their prices the same if the competition just got more expensive however.

          I’m glad you found my comment informative. I’d hate to think I was talking to someone who wanted to say their opinion and then got defensive if someone disagreed with them. It’s a sign of someone with at least a wrinkle or two that they’re open to discussing their thoughts.

          For more insight from people even more knowledgeable than me:

          https://www.businessinsider.com/what-are-tariffs

          https://www.businessinsider.com/krugman-trump-tariffs-immigration-deportation-grocery-prices-wealth-taxes-policy-2025-1

          https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-end-of-north-america

          https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war/

            • @ricecake@sh.itjust.works
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              13 months ago

              So do either of those strategies apply to the manufacturing of physical goods as are being tarifed?

              Do you think that Ford is going to sell cars at a loss to make money on service contracts now that their costs are rising because some parts are fabricated in Detroit, assembled in Windsor, and then shipped back for installation in Flint? If it didn’t make sense to sell at a loss before, why would it make sense to do so now?

              Do you think that there’s money to be made on getting people hooked on buying wheat perks?

              We’re not talking videogame DLC, we’re talking about food, manufacturing materials, electrical power, and physical goods. The price of these things are going up, just like they went up with previous tariffs. This is a super easy case, because he did it to a lesser extent before, and it didn’t do what he’s saying it will. There’s no reason to believe that making the bad choice more vigorously will make it suddenly have a different outcome.

                • @ricecake@sh.itjust.works
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                  13 months ago

                  Dude, go reread my first comment. I specifically mention tarrif as a counter to restore market balance after manipulation. These aren’t being used to counteract an anticompetitive subsidy. Raising prices to restore equilibrium and raising prices to disrupt it are very different things.

                  I know you want this to be something that works, but there’s a reason why reputable economists think this is just the worst idea.

        • @Croquette@sh.itjust.works
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          13 months ago

          Tariffs only makes thing more expensive for everyone.

          Let’s say you import steel at X$/ton and it cost Y$ locally where X < Y. You add a tariff T to make the imported steel on par with local steel.

          Local steel still is as expensive and any production that uses imported steel now cost more.

          Nothing went down in price, only up.

          Now, there is a discussion to be had about buying local, but the immediate effect is that things will cost more even if manufacturers switch to local steel because they pay more for the same quantity no matter what.

          This is a simplified version of the situation, but it explains the issue.

            • @Croquette@sh.itjust.works
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              23 months ago

              Picking local versus imported has no effect whatsoever on the price of the transformed product.

              Business will find the source of primary resources that is the cheapest for their needs. Best case scenario, local is what’s used already and prices won’t change.

              Otherwise, the transformed product will cost more because either the businesses pay the new inflated price for imported resources or they switch to a local resources which is more expensive. Prices will raise no matter what.

              Guess which one we’ll see happening?

    • @zarkanian@sh.itjust.works
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      33 months ago

      I think the problem is that these tariffs are, for the most part, untargeted. They aren’t a “tax” on “specific imports”. They’re a blanket tax on all imports from many countries.